Two Way Street

Last Updated: July 16, 2026

Tracking the Frontline: Troop Movements & Territorial Control

Territorial Control & Frontline Updates

Open-source intelligence assessments

Russia
Ukraine (Sovereign Borders)
Russian-Occupied Territory
Recent Russian Offensive (Avdiivka axis)
Territorial Control Map. The frontline has largely frozen into a grueling war of attrition. Breakthroughs are measured in meters.

After the sweeping territorial changes of 2022—including the rapid Russian advances, the chaotic retreat from Kyiv, and Ukraine's stunning counteroffensives in Kharkiv and Kherson—the battlefield geometry has largely solidified.

Today, Russia maintains control over roughly 20% of Ukrainian territory, having fortified their positions behind some of the most extensive minefields and defensive trench networks constructed since World War II. The conflict has transitioned from sweeping maneuvers to a brutal, grinding war of attrition where gains are measured in individual treelines and ruined villages.

Expansion of Unmanned Systems Forces

Ukraine significantly scales up its Unmanned Systems Forces, leveraging domestic drone production and joint defense ventures with European partners. This shift aims to offset Russian artillery advantages through precision deep-strikes on logistics and infrastructure.

Mid-2026 Troop Deployments

Recent troop deployments highlight Russia's continued grinding offensive towards Pokrovsk (Central Grouping) and a stalled front near Vovchansk (Northern Grouping). Ukrainian forces are concentrating on defending these established lines while prioritizing the replenishment of exhausted frontline units over building strategic reserves.

Project Freyja Announced

Nine European nations back the development of 'Freyja', a continent-wide anti-ballistic missile shield designed as an alternative to the Patriot system, aiming for deployment within a year to protect Ukraine and Eastern Europe.

The frontline has essentially frozen, with the focus shifting heavily toward long-range strikes and systemic disruption of logistics rather than sweeping territorial maneuvers.

Context: True. Extensive reporting confirms the static nature of the front lines and Ukraine's successful long-range drone campaigns against Russian infrastructure.

War of Attrition & Stalled Frontlines

Russia maintains control over approximately 19-20% of Ukrainian territory. However, Russian ground offensives, particularly in the Pokrovsk sector, have largely stalled, advancing only tens of meters per day. Russia faces a domestic fuel crisis due to systematic Ukrainian strikes on oil refineries.

Dnipropetrovsk Liberation

Ukrainian Defense Forces liberate six settlements in the Dnipropetrovsk region, reclaiming 126 square kilometers of territory in localized counter-attacks.

Kyiv-Sumy Defense Line

Ukraine completes construction of a 100km deep defense line stretching from the Kyiv Reservoir to Sumy, marking a significant strategic shift toward long-term fortification.

Russia Regains Sudzha

Russian forces successfully regain control over the border town of Sudzha in the Kursk region following prolonged counter-offensives against Ukrainian salient positions.

Three Years of War

As the full-scale invasion enters its fourth year, the frontline remains largely static. Russia continues a strategy of grueling attrition, making incremental but costly gains in the Donbas region while Ukraine focuses on defensive operations and long-range strikes.

Renewed Kharkiv Offensive

Russia launches a surprise offensive across the international border into the Kharkiv region, targeting towns like Vovchansk. The move opens a new front and forces Ukraine to divert critical reserves from the Donbas.

Fall of Avdiivka

After months of intense fighting, Ukrainian forces withdraw from the eastern city of Avdiivka to avoid encirclement, marking Russia's most significant territorial gain in months.

War Enters a Stalemate

The frontlines largely freeze, with both sides engaging in a war of attrition. International analysts assess that the conflict has reached a stalemate phase.

Ukraine's 2023 Counteroffensive Begins

Ukraine launches its highly anticipated summer counteroffensive, aiming to breach Russian defensive lines in the south and east. Progress is slower than expected due to dense minefields and fortified positions.

Fall of Bakhmut

After nearly a year of intense and bloody urban combat, Russian forces, spearheaded by the Wagner mercenary group, claim full control of the eastern city of Bakhmut. The battle becomes one of the deadliest of the war.

Liberation of Kherson

Russian forces withdraw from the city of Kherson, the only regional capital they had captured since the February invasion. Ukrainian troops enter the city to jubilation from residents.

Kharkiv Counteroffensive

Ukrainian forces launch a surprise counteroffensive in the Kharkiv region, rapidly recapturing thousands of square kilometers of territory and forcing Russian troops into a chaotic retreat.

Capture of Mariupol

Russian forces complete the capture of the strategic port city of Mariupol after a brutal months-long siege, securing a vital land bridge between mainland Russia and the Crimean Peninsula.

Russian Retreat from Kyiv

After failing to capture Kyiv, Russian forces withdraw from the region to refocus their offensive in the east and south of Ukraine. Evidence of atrocities in towns like Bucha emerges.

Russia Invades Ukraine

Russia launches a full-scale military invasion of Ukraine, advancing on multiple fronts including towards the capital, Kyiv. President Putin announces a 'special military operation'.