Two Way Street

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Institute for the Study of War

think tank95%credibility0 / 0 / 0

Why this score Assigned based on institutional history and track record.

Tracked statements

1
? unverified
Russian forces may continue to make slow creeping advances in the Fortress Belt but will fail to meet Putin’s newly revised deadline of seizing all of Donetsk Oblast by Spring 2027, if they can seize it at all.

Recorded as a prediction resolving 31 May 2027, the latest reading of “spring”. When it was made, ISW counted 5,382 square kilometres of Donetsk Oblast still outside Russian control and no Fortress Belt city taken.

ukraine russia war/territory control/fortress belt·source ↗